Shimla (Rajeev Sharma): Himachal Pradesh is likely to experience mostly dry weather over the next four days, with the southwest monsoon remaining weak across the state. The Meteorological Department has forecast a noticeable rise in temperatures, with the mercury expected to climb by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius in several areas.
Most parts of the state are likely to see clear skies today and tomorrow. Higher reaches are expected to remain completely dry during the next 48 hours, while a few locations in the lower and middle hills could receive light rain or drizzle.
The subdued weather pattern is likely to continue through September 11 and 12. The rise in temperatures could be more noticeable in the plains, where warm conditions are already prevailing.
Temperatures Above Normal in Several Areas
The ongoing dry spell has pushed temperatures above the seasonal average at several locations. The mercury has already crossed 30°C in nine cities across Himachal Pradesh.
Keylong recorded one of the sharpest departures from normal, with the temperature reaching 25.3°C—6.3°C above the average for this time of the year.
Mandi and Bhuntar both recorded 32.8°C, with temperatures 3.6°C and 3.1°C above normal, respectively. Kalpa registered 23.8°C, also 3.1°C higher than usual, while Manali recorded 26.4°C, around 2.2°C above normal.
Rain Expected to Make a Comeback
The weather pattern is expected to change from September 13, when another spell of rainfall is likely to affect the state. The Meteorological Department has indicated that most parts of Himachal could receive rain during this period, with September 14 likely to see relatively good rainfall activity.
The return of rain could bring some relief from the prevailing warmth, particularly across the lower-altitude areas that have experienced a prolonged period of subdued monsoon activity.
State Records 10% Rainfall Deficit
Despite occasional heavy spells during the season, Himachal Pradesh has received 10% less rainfall than normal so far this monsoon.
The rainfall situation varies considerably from district to district. Lahaul-Spiti has recorded the highest deficit at 61%, followed by Hamirpur at 32%. Mandi has reported a 17% shortfall, while Solan is 13% below normal. Chamba has a 4% deficit, Kangra 5% and Una 3%.
On the other hand, some districts have received rainfall in excess of their seasonal averages. Shimla is 13% above normal, while Bilaspur and Kullu have recorded surpluses of 9% each. Kinnaur has received 3% more rainfall than normal so far this season.
